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Zinc · Origin deep dive

LME cash zinc, in-warehouse

Monthly avg, World Bank Pink Sheet, Sep 2026
4,021.00USD/t+3.77%
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LME warehousesBenchmark
Global · In-warehouse · terminal market

Global reference for SHG zinc

Ports & infrastructure

Warranted stock concentrates in Singapore, Port Klang, Kaohsiung and European sheds, the delivery backbone of the zinc reference.

Quality spec

Special high grade zinc, 99.995% minimum, in 25-kilogram ingots or jumbo blocks under registered LME brands.

Logistics & freight

Warrant-based trading with physical exit via cancellation and FOT load-out; regional premiums price the hop from shed to consumer.

Buyer base

Traders and financiers hold most warrants; galvanizers pull exchange metal only when spot premiums exceed the all-in warrant cost.

Seasonality

Stock cycles follow spread structure and smelter outages rather than the calendar, with backwardations draining visible inventory fast.

Risk factors

Low visible stocks, hidden off-warrant inventory and squeeze-prone spreads make the warrant discount volatile and cancellation-driven.

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US SHG (delivered)
USA · Delivered premium · duty + premium

Special-high-grade delivered premium

Ports & infrastructure

Delivered US basis fed by Nyrstar's Clarksville smelter, the country's only primary plant, plus imports via New Orleans.

Quality spec

Special high grade 99.995% slab for continuous galvanizing lines and jumbos for the die-casting alloy sector.

Logistics & freight

Truck and rail from Clarksville plus duty-cleared Canadian and seaborne cargoes; premium embeds freight, financing and tariff exposure.

Buyer base

Steel-sheet galvanizers, general galvanizers and zinc die-casters, with automotive and construction end-demand setting the pull.

Seasonality

Galvanizing demand peaks with spring-summer construction steel; annual premium contracts are struck in the fourth-quarter mating season.

Risk factors

US tariff policy on zinc imports, Clarksville operating reliability and Canadian smelter output swing the delivered Midwest-style premium.

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Rotterdam SHG
Europe · In-warehouse premium · European benchmark

Duty-paid SHG premium

Ports & infrastructure

In-warehouse Rotterdam and Antwerp sheds, the duty-paid clearing point for seaborne zinc into the European market.

Quality spec

Duty-paid SHG 99.995% ingot cleared of the EU's 2.5% import duty, the continent's benchmark refined spec.

Logistics & freight

Seaborne imports and regional smelter output move by barge and truck to inland galvanizers across Benelux and Germany.

Buyer base

European galvanizers, brass mills and die-casters, buying on annual premiums benchmarked against the Rotterdam duty-paid quote.

Seasonality

Premiums firm into first-half construction-steel demand and slacken through the European summer and year-end galvanizing line stoppages.

Risk factors

European smelter economics under power costs — Budel and Nordenham curtailments — plus import arbitrage and duty policy drive the premium.

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Shanghai (SMM)
China · Ex-works China · top smelter hub

Concentrate TCs at lows squeeze smelter margins

Ports & infrastructure

Ex-works pricing off SMM assessments around the Shanghai delivery hub, with imports clearing through Shanghai bonded warehouses.

Quality spec

SHFE-deliverable 99.995% zinc ingot from the world's largest smelting base across Shaanxi, Yunnan and Inner Mongolia.

Logistics & freight

Domestic truck and rail from inland smelters; imported refined metal enters only when the SHFE-LME arb briefly opens.

Buyer base

Chinese galvanizers, die-cast alloyers and oxide producers serving construction steel, autos and infrastructure programs.

Seasonality

Demand dips through Lunar New Year and the summer construction lull, restocking into the September-October peak building season.

Risk factors

Record-low concentrate TCs squeeze smelter margins; joint smelter output cuts, property-sector demand and arb flows reprice the market.

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Concentrate (payable)
Australia/Peru · FOB payable basis · mine supply

Concentrate payables net back well under refined metal

Ports & infrastructure

Loaded at Townsville and Karumba for Australian mines and Callao and Huarmey for Peruvian supply including Antamina.

Quality spec

Sulphide concentrates around 50% zinc with roughly 85% payable metal, penalised for iron, silica and deleterious elements.

Logistics & freight

Bulk concentrate parcels ship to custom smelters in China, Korea and Europe under annual benchmark or spot TC terms.

Buyer base

Custom smelters — Korea Zinc, Nyrstar, Boliden and Chinese plants — whose margins live in treatment charges and free metal.

Seasonality

The annual benchmark TC settlement each spring anchors the year; Andean weather and shipping windows nudge quarterly availability.

Risk factors

Mine supply surprises and TC collapse shift value between miners and smelters; payables terms harden when concentrate is scarce.