Soybean Meal · Origin deep dive
Soybean meal, FOB US Gulf (CBOT-linked)
CBOT-linked export basis
NOLA-area river elevators and the Mississippi export complex load meal railed and barged from Midwest crush plants.
CBOT-spec 47.5-48% protein hipro meal is the contract reference, with consistent US quality control a selling point.
Barge flows down the Mississippi into panamax and supramax liftings; low-water drafts periodically choke the chain.
Philippines, Mexico (mostly by rail), Colombia, Ecuador and European compounders when Argentine offers tighten.
Crush and export pace peak post-harvest October-March, with renewable-diesel-driven crush expansion pushing meal exports structurally higher.
Mississippi low water, Argentine crush recovery undercutting US offers, and meal oversupply from oil-driven crush capacity growth.
The crush capital; FX incentives discount it
The Rosario/San Lorenzo Up River complex on the Parana is the world's densest soymeal export hub.
Argentine hipro meal around 46-47% protein is the volume world standard, occasionally discounted on protein versus US spec.
Panamaxes part-load at Up River berths limited by Parana draft, topping off at Bahia Blanca or in Brazil.
Vietnam, Indonesia, EU feed compounders and North African buyers make Argentina the top meal exporter.
Harvest April-May drives a May-September crush and export peak; farmer soybean retention as an FX hedge slows off-season supply.
Parana river drafts and dredging, export-tax and FX-incentive schemes changing crush margins, drought years collapsing exportable surplus, and strikes.
Expanding domestic crush
Paranagua's export corridor and Santos load meal from an expanding Brazilian crush industry.
Brazilian 46-48% hipro meal with higher protein availability in Parana state; quality competitive with Argentine standard.
Truck and rail to congested southern ports where meal competes with beans and corn for berth windows.
EU compounders, Southeast Asia and Middle East buyers take Brazilian meal, which gains share in Argentine drought years.
Crush follows the February-May harvest, with export lineups heaviest March-August before corn's second-crop surge competes for capacity.
Port congestion and lineup delays, biodiesel-mandate-driven crush changes, domestic poultry demand, and Argentine competitiveness swings.
Delivered into EU compound feed
Rotterdam and Amsterdam discharge meal into ARA silos feeding Benelux, German and French compound-feed mills.
CIF Rotterdam quotes distinguish Brazilian and Argentine hipro, with non-GM and soon deforestation-free certified meal at premiums.
Panamax discharges into ARA storage, then barge up the Rhine; low Rhine water intermittently inflates inland freight.
EU feed compounders like ForFarmers and Agrifirm supplying pig, poultry and dairy sectors are the end demand.
Feed demand peaks in winter housing months while South American new-crop offers pressure CIF premiums into the second quarter.
EUDR implementation for soy, EU animal-herd contraction, Rhine water levels, and the Argentina-Brazil FOB battle setting the delivered price.