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Neodymium (NdPr) · Origin deep dive

NdPr oxide, FOB China

68.40USD/kg-0.23%
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FOB China (NdPr oxide)Benchmark
China · FOB · ~85-90% of processing
68.40 USD/kg

China sets the magnet-rare-earth price

Ports & infrastructure

Separated oxide from Inner Mongolia, Sichuan and Jiangxi containerizes through Tianjin and Shanghai under state-supervised export channels.

Quality spec

Neodymium-praseodymium oxide at 99.5% minimum purity, the magnet-feed reference from which metal and alloy prices derive.

Logistics & freight

Production runs under MIIT quota allocations to the two state groups; exports of controlled rare earths now require licences.

Buyer base

Chinese magnet makers like JL MAG and Zhong Ke San Huan, with ex-China magnet plants buying at the margin.

Seasonality

Cadence is policy-driven: semiannual production-quota releases and Northern Rare Earth's monthly listed prices set the rhythm.

Risk factors

April 2025 export controls on heavy rare earths proved the chokepoint is usable; quota policy and Myanmar feed swings add volatility.

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US (MP Materials)
USA · Domestic · DoD-backed
79.40 USD/kg
+11.00 (+16.1%)widening

Domestic NdPr premium under price-floor support

Ports & infrastructure

Mountain Pass, California mines and separates on-site, trucking oxide domestically toward metal and magnet capacity in Fort Worth.

Quality spec

Separated NdPr oxide to magnet-grade specification, with the ambition of a fully domestic mine-to-magnet chain.

Logistics & freight

Ore-to-oxide integration on one site removes seaborne steps; DoD partnership underwrites metallization and magnet ramp-up.

Buyer base

Department of Defense offtake and price-floor support, General Motors magnet supply, and consumer-electronics deals anchor demand.

Seasonality

Effectively policy cadence rather than seasonality: appropriations, DoD milestones and qualification timelines drive volume steps.

Risk factors

Execution risk on metal and magnet scale-up, plus dependence on government price support if Chinese oxide prices stay depressed.

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ex-China (Lynas)
Malaysia · FOB · supply-security
77.40 USD/kg
+9.000 (+13.2%)stable

Lynas Malaysia — the non-China benchmark

Ports & infrastructure

Mt Weld concentrate ships from Fremantle to the Kuantan LAMP in Malaysia, with Kalgoorlie cracking added upstream.

Quality spec

NdPr oxide at magnet-grade purity, the reference product for non-China supply contracts and Japanese consumption.

Logistics & freight

A two-country chain: Australian mining and cracking, Malaysian separation, then containerized oxide to Japanese and Korean magnet makers.

Buyer base

Japanese magnet producers under JOGMEC-backed offtakes, plus Korean and Western magnet projects seeking qualified ex-China feed.

Seasonality

Quarterly contract pricing with Japanese buyers dominates; physical flow shows little weather-driven pattern.

Risk factors

Malaysian operating-licence and thorium-residue politics, ramp-up hiccups at Kalgoorlie, and margin squeeze whenever Chinese oxide prices sag.

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Myanmar feedstock
Myanmar · Feed to China · heavy-RE feed
64.40 USD/kg
-4.000 (-5.8%)stable

Ionic-clay feed into Chinese separation

Ports & infrastructure

Ionic-clay leachate product trucks from Kachin State across the Yunnan border crossings into Chinese separation plants.

Quality spec

Mixed rare-earth carbonate exceptionally rich in dysprosium and terbium, the heavy-rare-earth feed China's magnet chain depends on.

Logistics & freight

Informal in-situ leach operations feed cross-border truck convoys; everything downstream, separation to metal, happens inside China.

Buyer base

Chinese separators in Jiangxi and Guangdong, ultimately serving high-temperature magnet grades for EV traction motors and defense.

Seasonality

The June-September monsoon slows leaching operations and softens cross-border truck volumes into Yunnan.

Risk factors

Kachin Independence Army control of mining areas since late 2024, border closures, and environmental crackdowns can cut heavy-RE feed abruptly.