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Phosphate Rock · Origin deep dive

Phosphate rock 70% BPL, FOB Morocco (OCP)

152.00USD/t+0.11%
🇲🇦
FOB Morocco (OCP)Benchmark
Morocco · FOB Jorf Lasfar · ~world reference
152.00 USD/t

OCP sets the seaborne rock price

Ports & infrastructure

OCP moves Khouribga rock via slurry pipeline to Jorf Lasfar and rails Gantour ore to Safi for export.

Quality spec

Sedimentary rock across grades around 68-75% BPL, the flexible reference spec against which other origins price.

Logistics & freight

The 187-km Khouribga-Jorf slurry pipeline gives OCP the lowest logistics cost per tonne in the seaborne trade.

Buyer base

Indian and Latin American fertilizer producers, European processors, and OCP's own massive domestic phosphoric-acid and DAP complex.

Seasonality

Sales swing with Indian kharif-season purchasing and Brazilian safra demand, mediated by OCP's rock-versus-acid arbitrage.

Risk factors

OCP's discretionary allocation between rock and downstream products, Indian subsidy policy, and Western Sahara-related legal issues move availability.

🇯🇴
Jordan / Egypt (FOB)
Jordan · FOB · regional
144.00 USD/t
-8.000 (-5.3%)widening

Regional sedimentary rock

Ports & infrastructure

Jordanian rock ships from Aqaba fed by Eshidiya mine rail, while Egyptian rock loads at Red Sea and Mediterranean ports.

Quality spec

Mid-grade sedimentary rock, with Jordanian material well regarded and Egyptian rock typically discounted for grade and consistency.

Logistics & freight

Aqaba's Red Sea position suits Indian-subcontinent freight, though Red Sea security episodes have periodically inflated insurance costs.

Buyer base

Indian and Indonesian fertilizer makers dominate, with JPMC's Indian joint-venture ties anchoring committed Jordanian offtake.

Seasonality

Tracks Indian monsoon-linked DAP buying seasons and government subsidy announcements more than any supply-side weather pattern.

Risk factors

Red Sea shipping disruption, Indian subsidy-rate decisions, and Egyptian export consistency drive this regional differential.

🇷🇺
Kola apatite (FOB)
Russia · FOB · high-grade igneous
166.00 USD/t
+14.00 (+9.2%)stable

Low-cadmium igneous rock premium

Ports & infrastructure

PhosAgro's Kola Peninsula apatite rails south, exporting through Murmansk, Baltic ports and increasingly non-Western routings.

Quality spec

Igneous apatite concentrate around 38-39% P2O5 with very low cadmium, prized for EU heavy-metal fertilizer limits.

Logistics & freight

Long rail hauls to port and sanctions-era shipping and payment frictions complicate an otherwise premium supply chain.

Buyer base

European fertilizer producers needing low-cadmium feed under EU rules, plus Indian and Latin American buyers taking discounted parcels.

Seasonality

Arctic winter rail and port conditions are managed routinely; flows respond more to sanctions posture and European demand.

Risk factors

Sanctions escalation, EU import tariffs on Russian fertilizers, payment-channel friction and self-sanctioning by buyers dominate the discount.

🇺🇸
US (captive, Mosaic)
USA · Integrated · captive
172.00 USD/t
+20.00 (+13.2%)widening

Integrated into domestic DAP/MAP

Ports & infrastructure

Florida Bone Valley rock moves by rail and truck to Mosaic's New Wales and Riverview phosphoric-acid complexes near Tampa.

Quality spec

Declining-grade Florida sedimentary rock, adequate for captive acid production but rarely competitive as merchant export material.

Logistics & freight

Fully integrated mine-to-plant chains with Tampa Bay ammonia imports inbound; essentially no merchant rock leaves the system.

Buyer base

Captive consumption into Mosaic's DAP-MAP production for the US Corn Belt and Latin American export markets.

Seasonality

Follows North American spring and fall fertilizer application windows and Mississippi barge logistics rather than rock trade timing.

Risk factors

Hurricane exposure in Florida, mine permitting battles, gypstack environmental liabilities and countervailing-duty rulings on competing DAP imports.

🇨🇳
China (export-quota)
China · FOB · domestic-first
146.00 USD/t
-6.000 (-3.9%)stable

Exports throttled to protect domestic supply

Ports & infrastructure

Yunnan, Guizhou, Hubei and Sichuan rock feeds domestic processors, with limited exports through Yangtze and southern ports.

Quality spec

Mid-grade sedimentary rock largely consumed domestically, with export material historically priced competitively into Asian markets.

Logistics & freight

Inland river and rail movement dominates; export customs inspections effectively meter what little rock and phosphate leaves.

Buyer base

Domestic Chinese phosphate-fertilizer and rising LFP-battery cathode producers, with Indian buyers taking permitted export tonnage.

Seasonality

Export windows are policy-set around domestic spring and autumn planting needs, making flows quota-driven rather than seasonal.

Risk factors

Chinese export inspection and quota policy, LFP battery demand tightening domestic balance, and environmental mining curbs dominate this origin.