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Natural Gas (HH) · Origin deep dive

Henry Hub natural gas

3.420USD/MMBtu+0.83%
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Henry HubBenchmark
USA · Pipeline, Louisiana · US benchmark
3.420 USD/MMBtu

The North American reference

Ports & infrastructure

Henry Hub at Erath, Louisiana interconnects over a dozen pipelines and anchors NYMEX delivery adjacent to Gulf LNG demand.

Quality spec

Pipeline-quality gas around 1030-1040 Btu per cubic foot, dry spec, the contractual reference for most US LNG offtake.

Logistics & freight

Pure pipeline hub with deep physical liquidity; proximity to Sabine, Plaquemines and Corpus LNG trains ties it to export demand.

Buyer base

LNG exporters are the structural marginal buyer, alongside Gulf industrials, power generators and utilities hedging on NYMEX.

Seasonality

Winter heating and summer cooling peaks bracket shoulder-season injection; storage trajectory versus five-year average steers the curve.

Risk factors

Freeze-off events cutting supply while demand spikes, LNG train outages backing gas up, associated-gas growth and storage congestion.

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JKM (NE Asia)
Asia · DES Asia · Asian LNG
12.12 USD/MMBtu
+8.700 (+254.4%)narrowing

Delivered Asian LNG netback

Ports & infrastructure

Priced delivered ex-ship into Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and China regas terminals such as Futtsu, Incheon and Yung-An.

Quality spec

DES cargoes around 3.4 TBtu on standard 174,000 cbm carriers, with GCV and delivery-window flexibility priced into assessments.

Logistics & freight

Spot and strip cargoes on modern two-stroke carriers; Panama Canal transit constraints push US cargoes via Suez or the Cape.

Buyer base

JERA, KOGAS, CPC, Japanese utilities and Chinese second-tier importers flex spot purchases against term supply.

Seasonality

Winter heating demand December-February and summer cooling spikes lift JKM; shoulder months sag when storage is comfortable.

Risk factors

JKM-TTF arb reversals rerouting Atlantic cargoes, Chinese price-sensitive demand elasticity, nuclear restarts in Japan and typhoon disruptions.

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TTF (NW Europe)
Europe · Hub · European hub
11.92 USD/MMBtu
+8.500 (+248.5%)stable

The European gas benchmark; LNG pull

Ports & infrastructure

The Dutch TTF is a virtual hub, with physical supply arriving through Gate, Zeebrugge, and German FSRU terminals plus Norwegian pipes.

Quality spec

Standardised hub gas in EUR/MWh; Europe's benchmark for pipeline, storage and LNG-indexed contracts since Russian supply collapsed.

Logistics & freight

LNG regas capacity and Norwegian pipeline flows replaced Russian transit; storage-mandate refill schedules dominate summer logistics.

Buyer base

European utilities, industrials and traders; Uniper, RWE and ENGIE-type portfolios balance LNG against storage and demand.

Seasonality

Winter draw versus EU storage-fill targets defines the year; cold snaps with low wind output produce the sharpest spikes.

Risk factors

LNG supply-wave absorption, residual Russian LNG sanction decisions, Norwegian maintenance, weather-driven demand and the JKM arb pulling cargoes away.

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AECO (Canada)
Canada · Hub, Alberta · basis discount
2.320 USD/MMBtu
-1.100 (-32.2%)stable

Takeaway-constrained basis discount

Ports & infrastructure

AECO/NIT is Alberta's storage-linked virtual hub on the Nova system, far inland from any export waterborne outlet.

Quality spec

Standard pipeline-spec dry gas priced in CAD per gigajoule, historically at a wide discount to Henry Hub.

Logistics & freight

Takeaway on TC Energy's NGTL system plus Coastal GasLink into LNG Canada, whose ramp-up is structurally tightening the basis.

Buyer base

LNG Canada's Shell-led consortium, Alberta oilsands and power demand, and US Midwest and Pacific Northwest buyers via export pipes.

Seasonality

Summer maintenance on NGTL routinely crushes AECO cash prices, while winter heating demand and storage draws firm the hub.

Risk factors

NGTL maintenance-season blowouts, LNG Canada ramp timing, storage capacity limits and rapid Montney supply growth outpacing takeaway.

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Waha (Permian)
USA · Hub, W Texas · constrained
1.820 USD/MMBtu
-1.600 (-46.8%)stable

Associated-gas glut can push it negative

Ports & infrastructure

Waha hub in West Texas aggregates Permian associated gas at the junction of Gulf-bound and westbound pipelines.

Quality spec

Pipeline-spec gas that is a byproduct of oil drilling, making supply insensitive to gas price and prone to negative prints.

Logistics & freight

Gulf Coast Express, Whistler, Permian Highway and Matterhorn move gas east to Gulf demand; flaring absorbs the residue.

Buyer base

Gulf Coast LNG exporters and Texas power demand via pipeline offtake, plus Mexican exports on Comanche Trail and Roadrunner.

Seasonality

Spring and autumn pipeline maintenance with soft demand drives the deepest negative pricing episodes at Waha.

Risk factors

Permian oil-drilling pace setting gas supply regardless of price, pipeline outages, new takeaway timing and ERCOT demand swings.