Lithium Carbonate · Origin deep dive
Battery-grade carbonate, China spot (GFEX-linked)
Reference spot for battery-grade carbonate
EXW converter gates across Jiangxi, Sichuan and Qinghai — the GFEX-linked spot market.
Battery-grade Li2CO3 ≥99.5%, magnetics within cathode-maker limits.
Domestic truck logistics; the quote all import parities net back against.
Cathode and cell makers (CATL, BYD supply chains) on monthly contracts vs spot.
Q4 EV production push tightens spot; Q1 post-subsidy lulls soften it.
EV demand policy, lepidolite cost-curve swings, and GFEX positioning amplifying moves.
Contract carbonate lands under China spot
Antofagasta shipments from SQM and Albemarle brine operations in the Salar.
Brine-route carbonate, technical to battery grade with mature impurity control.
Containerized to Asian cathode hubs; the lowest-cost route to market in the industry.
Korean and Japanese cathode makers on term contracts; Chinese converters spot.
Evaporation-pond output is weather-stable; contract repricing quarters matter more.
Chilean lithium-policy evolution (state participation), water scrutiny, and contract-formula resets.
Converter margin squeeze keeps equivalent below spot
Port Hedland and Bunbury concentrate shipments from the WA hard-rock belt.
SC6 (6% Li2O) spodumene converted in China — the equivalent tracks converter economics.
Bulk concentrate to Chinese converters; conversion adds a quarter's lag to price response.
Chinese converters and integrated players (Tianqi, Ganfeng) with WA equity stakes.
Auction cadence (Pilbara Minerals BMX) sets marginal price discovery.
Converter-margin squeezes, WA mine curtailments, and auction-price signal volatility.